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Top Stock Picks 2012 – Q2 Results

Over the past few years, a group of bloggers have enlisted in a friendly competition as to who can pick the best stocks for the year.   As per tradition, we all report quarterly results to see how we are doing relative to each other, and more importantly, the market. This year, I picked a financial stock (BNS.TO), a big US consumer stock (MMM), a large Canadian minerals company (TCK-B.TO), and a well known Canadian oil company (SU.TO).

Q1 was relatively strong with a 7.84% gain (vs 5.4% for TSX), however Q2 dragged down Canadian stocks due to commodity weakness.  Hopefully we have a strong finish for the year!  On to the results:

Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS.TO) – With Canadian banks retreating from their highs in late 2011, their dividend yields have reached an attractive range. Scotia Bank, with a current yield of approximately 4%,  is known for their international operations and I believe has some upside coming in 2012.  That is providing that we don’t have a global financial meltdown. :) Trading price as of closing Dec 30, 2011: $50.83. Disclaimer: I own shares of BNS.TO.

Q1 was great for BNS with a 11% gain, however Q2 wasn’t so kind as the overall market was weak.  Trading price as of June 30, 2012: $52.74. Combined with a $1.10 dividend equates to a return of 5.92% after Q2 2012. Disclaimer: I own shares of BNS.TO.

3M Co. (MMM) –  This company is a great example of a Dividend Achiever where it has increased their dividend for 53 consecutive years with a current yield of 2.69% and P/E ratio of 13.74.  Who is 3M?  They are a  large diversified technology company with seven large divisions.  However, they are likely most well known as the inventor of the Post-It note.  3M shares sold off in late 2011 but it looks like the stock has already started its recovery.  Trading price as of closing Dec 30, 2011: $81.73. Disclaimer: I own shares of MMM.

I picked this one to get exposure to the US market and that it appeared oversold at the beginning of the year.  This one has been a winner as the US market remains strong, especially for top US dividend stocks. Trading price as of June 30, 2012: $89.60. Combined with a $1.18 dividend equates to a return of 11.07% after Q2 2012. Disclaimer: I own shares of MMM.

Teck Resources (TCK.B.TO) –  Teck Resources is my mineral play where the company is engaged in the exploration, development and production of copper, coal, gold and zinc.  It faced a steep decline in 2011 and I believe will start climbing again once confidence in the economy thus commodities returns. Teck currently yields 2.23% with a P/E ratio of 8.92. Trading price as of closing Dec 30, 2011: $35.91. Disclaimer: I own shares of TCK.B.

The most volatile stock in the portfolio has brought a large loss. Trading price as of June 30, 2012: $31.53 combined with a $0.40 dividend equates to a return of -11.1% after Q2 2012. Disclaimer: I own shares of TCK-B.TO.

Suncor Energy (SU.TO) –  Suncor Energy is Canada’s largest integrated energy company.  It has a large stake in the oil sands and is involved in numerous other energy plays across the country. While this is not a huge dividend stock with a yield of 1.50%, I believe that the energy sector is oversold and has a large upside should the buyers return.    Trading price as of closing Dec 30, 2011: $29.38.Disclaimer: I own shares of SU.TO.

Canadian oil stocks have been dragged down by the overall weakness in commodities over the quarter.  Trading price as of June 30, 2012: $29.44. Combined with a $0.24 dividend equates to a return of 1.02% after Q2 2012. Disclaimer: I own shares of SU.TO.

Overall, the portfolio has returned a paltry 1.73% year to date but has managed to beat the TSX which has returned approximately 0% including dividends(via XIU.TO).  However, the portfolio was no match for the mighty S&P500 that has  returned 9.74% year to date (via XSP.TO).  It appears that some of the other bloggers have had more luck!

Here are the the picks and results from the other bloggers:

  1. Where Does All My Money Go: 13.34%
  2. Intelligent Speculator: 12.25%
  3. Dividend Mantra: 6.78%
  4. Dividend Growth Investor: 4.91%
  5. Million Dollar Journey:  1.73%
  6. My Traders Journal: -1.37%
  7. The Passive Income Earner:  -5.65%
  8. Wild Investor: -7.73%
  9. The Financial Blogger: -13.15%
  10. Beating The Index: -26.55%
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FT About the author: FT is the founder and editor of Million Dollar Journey (est. 2006). Through various financial strategies outlined on this site, he grew his net worth from $200,000 in 2006 to $1,000,000 by 2014. You can read more about him here.

{ 4 comments… add one }
  • AL July 6, 2012, 10:50 am

    “10. Beating The Index: -26.55%”

    Apparently not.

  • eastvanspesh July 6, 2012, 7:06 pm

    Can’t help at laugh at Beating The Index really losing badly to the index

  • My husband and I are starting with our stocks investment. This post will be a big help for us in choosing which company to put our next investment. Thanks for sharing!

  • Steve July 8, 2012, 5:15 pm

    My two picks this year were Neptune Bioresources (NTB.TO) and Transforce inc. (TFI.TO) I believe they’ll do better than MMM.

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